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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
AM

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Atletico

Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.21%26.62%50.18%
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81%58.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69%23.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.26%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 23.21%
    Atletico Madrid 50.17%
    Draw 26.61%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.21%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-3 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.17%

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