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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Martinez Valero
CL

Elche
3 - 1
Cadiz

Fidel (13' pen.), Morente (75'), Josan (90+3')
Palacios (2'), Roco (23'), Fidel (26'), Marcone (28'), Gonzalez (69'), Gumbau (80'), Morente (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (90+1')
Haroyan (58'), Lozano (69'), Akapo (78')

We said: Elche 1-1 Cadiz

Both Elche and Cadiz will view Sunday's fixture as a winnable game in their quest to move away from the relegation zone. However, with little to separate these two struggling sides, a score draw could be on the cards at the Manuel Martinez Valero. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawCadiz
30.76%27.61%41.62%
Both teams to score 47.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38%57.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61%78.39%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9%34.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21%70.78%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72%27.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29%62.71%
Score Analysis
    Elche 30.76%
    Cadiz 41.62%
    Draw 27.61%
ElcheDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.3%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 12.08%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.85%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.62%

Read more!
Read more!


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