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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 1pm UK
Martinez Valero
RM

Elche
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Milla (86')
Guti (8')
Guti (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (22', 73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.18%) and 0-3 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawReal Madrid
9.84%17.45%72.71%
Both teams to score 43.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54%44.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17%66.83%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.3%50.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.86%85.14%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22%10.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.19%34.81%
Score Analysis
    Elche 9.84%
    Real Madrid 72.7%
    Draw 17.45%
ElcheDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 3.71%
2-1 @ 2.81%
2-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 9.84%
1-1 @ 8.27%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.45%
0-2 @ 13.56%
0-1 @ 12.18%
0-3 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 9.21%
1-3 @ 6.84%
0-4 @ 5.61%
1-4 @ 3.81%
0-5 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-5 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-6 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 72.7%

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