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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Martinez Valero
RM

Elche
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Fidel (52' pen.)
Gonzalo (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Modric (20')
Ramos (21'), Casemiro (60'), Carvajal (66'), Kroos (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.99%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawReal Madrid
10.31%17.71%71.98%
Both teams to score 44.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77%44.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39%66.62%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.38%49.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.6%84.4%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.09%10.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.91%35.09%
Score Analysis
    Elche 10.31%
    Real Madrid 71.97%
    Draw 17.71%
ElcheDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 3.8%
2-1 @ 2.95%
2-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 10.31%
1-1 @ 8.41%
0-0 @ 5.42%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.71%
0-2 @ 13.28%
0-1 @ 11.99%
0-3 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 9.31%
1-3 @ 6.88%
0-4 @ 5.43%
1-4 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-5 @ 2.41%
1-5 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 71.97%

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