Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
