Eibar
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Kike (28')
Arbilla (43')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Benzema (6'), Modric (13'), Vazquez (90+2')

Preview

Zidane hails "phenomenal" Karim Benzema as Real Madrid overcome Eibar

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Real Madrid
21.29%	25.05%	53.66%

Both teams to score 47.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.7%

54.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.31%

75.69%

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53%

40.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92%

77.08%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78%

20.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46%

52.54%

Score Analysis

Eibar 21.29%

Real Madrid 53.66%

Draw 25.04%

Eibar	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.29%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 13.08% 0-2 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-3 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.63% Total : 53.66%