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EL
La Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
RM

Eibar
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Kike (28')
Arbilla (43')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benzema (6'), Modric (13'), Vazquez (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawReal Madrid
21.29%25.05%53.66%
Both teams to score 47.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7%54.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31%75.69%
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53%40.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92%77.08%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78%20.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46%52.54%
Score Analysis
    Eibar 21.29%
    Real Madrid 53.66%
    Draw 25.04%
EibarDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 5.35%
2-0 @ 3.35%
3-1 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.29%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 21.29%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 13.08%
0-2 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-3 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 5.04%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 53.66%

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