In what promises to be another entertaining game, we are predicting a third consecutive score draw for Espanyol.
Joselu has scored in his last three home games, and should cause problems for Pacheta's men, while the visitors' shoot-on-sight policy means that we are likely see goals at both ends.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
0.66) 
-0.77) 
