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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2020 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
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Granada
2 - 1
Valencia

Kenedy (45+3'), Molina (88')
Foulquier (16'), Herrera (40'), Puertas (72'), Gonalons (90+6')
Duarte (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gameiro (36')
Jason (9'), Wass (33'), Mangala (48')
Jason (70'), Guedes (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawValencia
39.75%27.62%32.62%
Both teams to score 48.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81%57.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95%78.04%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89%28.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22%63.77%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45%32.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92%69.08%
Score Analysis
    Granada 39.74%
    Valencia 32.62%
    Draw 27.62%
GranadaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.74%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.62%

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