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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 12, 2020 at 1pm UK
Mestalla
AB

Valencia
2 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Soler (26' pen.), Vallejo (83')
Gomez (36'), Jason (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Villalibre (55'), Garcia (79' pen.)
Vesga (31'), Garcia (61'), Lopez (73'), Alvarez (82'), Berenguer (84'), Garcia (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
31%27.17%41.83%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1%55.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99%77.01%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97%33.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38%69.62%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64%26.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49%61.51%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 31%
    Athletic Bilbao 41.82%
    Draw 27.17%
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 11.6%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 7.74%
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.82%

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