Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.