Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.72%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
