Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Huesca win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.