Although Osasuna will be determined to remain focused on their La Liga campaign, it is difficult for their players not to become distracted by the final that is waiting in the distance.
In contrast, Betis are highly motivated for Saturday's game as they look to maintain their top-four bid and after winning their last six league games against Osasuna, we think that they will continue their impressive head-to-head record by claiming a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
-0.23) 
0.28) 
