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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
RB

Villarreal
1 - 1
Betis

Pino (55')
Moreno (40'), Baena (63'), Torres (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iglesias (38')
Rodriguez (6'), Henrique (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anderlecht 1-1 Villarreal
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Betis
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Real Betis

This is a really difficult match to call, especially as the two teams will be entering the contest off the back of European fixtures. There is not an awful lot between the two sides in terms of quality, and we are expecting a very close match, with the points ultimately being shared on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Betis
47.59% (0.38 0.38) 25.15% (-0.101 -0.1) 27.26% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.24 0.24)49.65% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.214 0.21)71.67% (-0.215 -0.22)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.26300000000001 0.26)20.89% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (0.41200000000001 0.41)53.59% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)32.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.102 -0.1)69.1% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 47.59%
    Real Betis 27.26%
    Draw 25.15%
VillarrealDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-1 Villarreal
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Getafe
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 4-2 Villarreal
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, February 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Betis
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 2-3 Betis
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Betis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 3-4 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga


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