Mallorca have made a habit of gleefully derailing numerous top-six sides this season; Aguirre's scrappers have beaten Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Villarreal (twice) this term.
However, the island side have lost each of their last five away games - a streak Betis may well extend this weekend, but not without a fight from the battling islanders.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Betis.
-0.32) 
0.36) 
