Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
