Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.