Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.