Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.