Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
