Dundalk
2 - 2
Derry

Bradley (31'), Connolly (72')
Connolly (24'), Bradley (24'), Bone (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Thomson (40'), McGonigle (80')
Thomson (24')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Derry City
44.95%	26.15%	28.9%

Both teams to score 51.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2%

52.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57%

74.42%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59%

23.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6%

57.4%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04%

32.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46%

69.54%

Score Analysis

Dundalk 44.95%

Derry City 28.9%

Draw 26.15%

Dundalk	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.9%