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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 36
Nov 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
DC

Dundalk
1 - 2
Derry

Murray (33')
Murray (21'), Cleary (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harkin (45+1'), McGonigle (52')
Lafferty (63')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
56.31%23.71%19.98%
Both teams to score 49.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36%50.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45%72.55%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19%17.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.46%48.53%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25%39.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58%76.42%
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 56.3%
    Derry City 19.98%
    Draw 23.7%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 5.59%
4-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 56.3%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.53%
1-2 @ 5.2%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.98%

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