Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.