Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.