Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.