Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.