Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.