Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
