Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (13.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
