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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Apr 9, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Richmond Park
DC

St Patrick's
2 - 0
Derry

Benson (60'), Burns (71')
Smith (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Koy Lupano (11'), (45+2')
Koy Lupano (33')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (13.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
36.07%31.49%32.44%
Both teams to score 38.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.47%69.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.07%86.93%
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21%36.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42%73.58%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6%39.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9%76.1%
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 36.07%
    Derry City 32.44%
    Draw 31.48%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 14.49%
2-0 @ 7.25%
2-1 @ 6.75%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.07%
0-0 @ 14.49%
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.14%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 31.48%
0-1 @ 13.5%
0-2 @ 6.29%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 32.44%

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