Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Derry City win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.