Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Drogheda United in this match.
