Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
