Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
