Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
42.17% ( 0.17) | 25.97% ( 0.37) | 31.86% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 53.38% ( -1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% ( -1.73) | 50.84% ( 1.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% ( -1.54) | 72.73% ( 1.54) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.09% ( -0.67) | 23.91% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.88% ( -0.97) | 58.12% ( 0.97) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( -1.22) | 29.85% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( -1.49) | 65.93% ( 1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.86% |
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