SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 72.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 11.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-2 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
72.46% ( 0.29) | 16.45% ( -0.1) | 11.09% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.06) | 35.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.99% ( -0.07) | 58.01% ( 0.07) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.36% ( 0.05) | 8.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.2% ( 0.12) | 29.8% ( -0.12) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.35% ( -0.37) | 42.65% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21% ( -0.32) | 78.99% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 72.45% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.45% | 1-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 11.09% |
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