SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
22.44% ( -0.04) | 26.28% ( 0.01) | 51.27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.33% ( -0.05) | 57.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.58% ( -0.04) | 78.42% ( 0.04) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.07) | 41.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( -0.06) | 77.75% ( 0.06) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( -0) | 22.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( -0) | 56.2% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 22.44% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 13.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 51.27% |
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