SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
59.78% ( -0.02) | 22.73% ( 0) | 17.49% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.01) | 50.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( 0.01) | 72.13% ( -0.01) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0) | 16.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.93% ( -0.01) | 46.07% ( 0.01) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.03) | 42.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% ( 0.02) | 78.72% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.88% 4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 59.77% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.49% |
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