Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.