Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
