SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
44.75% ( -0.91) | 25.56% ( 0.3) | 29.69% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% ( -0.98) | 50% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( -0.88) | 71.98% ( 0.88) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.82) | 22.3% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -1.25) | 55.76% ( 1.25) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.06) | 30.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( -0.08) | 67.22% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.69% |
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