Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
37.49% ( -0.08) | 26.18% ( -0.03) | 36.32% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.05% ( 0.11) | 50.94% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.18% ( 0.1) | 72.82% ( -0.1) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% ( 0.01) | 26.43% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% ( 0.02) | 61.6% ( -0.02) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.89% ( 0.11) | 27.11% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( 0.14) | 62.49% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.32% |
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