SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
54.69% ( 0.34) | 24.84% ( -0.03) | 20.48% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% ( -0.22) | 54.4% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% ( -0.18) | 75.77% ( 0.18) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( 0.05) | 19.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% ( 0.08) | 51.94% ( -0.08) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.45) | 41.38% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% ( -0.41) | 77.89% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.17% Total : 20.48% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
