Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finn Harps would win this match.