Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
