Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
