Longford Town
0 - 2
Derry

Dervin (24'), McNally (28'), O'Driscoll (71'), (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lafferty (31'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (82')
Thomson (22'), Lafferty (36')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Longford Town and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Longford Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Longford Town win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Longford Town	Draw	Derry City
28.77%	27.63%	43.6%

Both teams to score 46.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.59%

58.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.99%

79.01%

Longford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96%

36.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18%

72.81%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41%

26.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18%

61.81%

Score Analysis

Longford Town 28.77%

Derry City 43.59%

Draw 27.63%

Longford Town	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.77%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 12.69% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 8.41% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2% Total : 43.59%