Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.1%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Longford Town win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sligo Rovers in this match.