Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Longford Town win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Longford Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.