Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.