Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
