Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Galway United |
53.93% ( -0.13) | 24.27% ( 0.05) | 21.8% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -0.11) | 50.76% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( -0.1) | 72.66% ( 0.1) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0.09) | 18.75% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.87% ( -0.15) | 50.13% ( 0.16) |
Galway United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.05% ( 0.02) | 37.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.28% ( 0.02) | 74.72% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Galway United |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.92% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.8% |
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